European stock markets' cointegration in the presence of structural breaks (1999-2014) [Cointegración entre las principales bolsas de Europa continental en presencia de rompimientos estructurales (1999-2014)]

dc.creatorRoberto Joaquin Santillán Salgado
dc.date2015
dc.date.accessioned2018-10-19T13:37:35Z
dc.date.available2018-10-19T13:37:35Z
dc.descriptionThe main objective of this work is to determine if there is a long-term convergence relationship among the four largest markets in continental Europe. The sample includes the markets of Paris, Frankfurt, Milan and Madrid during a period of important changes in the economic environment and, in particular, episodes of intense turbulence. The methodological approach used consists in the construction of a model capable of representing the levels of the stock markets of the four markets and of characterizing their historical behavior with the use of econometric techniques. The study begins with the confirmation that the behavior thorough time of the stock market indices studied is not stationary in the presence of structural breaks. After confirming the evidence of unitary roots, a cointegration analysis of the natural logarithms of the indices is performed, confirming the existence of, at least, one cointegrating vector. Next, the behavior of the series was modeled with a Vector Errors Correction Model (VECM). The results of the model presented heteroscedasticity problems, so a GARCH family model was used to capture the complexity of the factors that determine that behavior. In effect, once heteroscedasticity was modeled, it is possible to proceed with the interpretation of the coefficients of the model, as well as the nature of the long-term relationship among the series. © 2015 Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Facultad de Contaduría y Administración.
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.cya.2015.08.013
dc.identifier.endpage105
dc.identifier.issn1861042
dc.identifier.startpage83
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11285/630615
dc.identifier.volume60
dc.languagespa
dc.publisherUniversidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico
dc.relationhttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84955287370&doi=10.1016%2fj.cya.2015.08.013&partnerID=40&md5=ef0320462636ec3ac7aa752a81d22292
dc.relationInvestigadores
dc.relationEstudiantes
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0
dc.sourceContaduria y Administracion
dc.subject.classification7 INGENIERÍA Y TECNOLOGÍA
dc.titleEuropean stock markets' cointegration in the presence of structural breaks (1999-2014) [Cointegración entre las principales bolsas de Europa continental en presencia de rompimientos estructurales (1999-2014)]
dc.typeArtículo
refterms.dateFOA2018-10-19T13:37:35Z

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